Optical Components: Reasons to be cheerful
Guest blog by Pauline Rigby, editor of Opticalreflection.com
I set out for the European Conference in Optical Communications (ECOC) in Turin this month with an open mind. The amount of data in the digital universe may be growing at a phenomenal rate, but are the fortunes of optical components vendors on a corresponding upwards cycle?
I was pleasantly surprised to find a very positive vibe on the show floor. Industry consolidation, oversupply and commodity products are no longer the main topics for discussion. Instead vendors are talking about how to differentiate their offerings, and some are even complaining that they can’t keep up with demand. There are several names that could fit the bill here, but since this is a Finisar blog, I’ll talk about Finisar. [Ed note: good idea!]
Just a few weeks prior to the show, Finisar announced Flexgrid technology for its wavelength selective switches (WSS), which allows telecoms carriers to define wavelengths that don’t conform to the ITU grid. Flexible channel spacing will probably be needed to accommodate future bit rates such as 400 Gbps or even 1 Tbps, which will occupy a non-standard amount of space. For instance, a 400 Gbps channel might take up 75 GHz of bandwidth, while 1 Tbps could occupy 150 GHz.
Verizon executives explained at ECOC how they will need this flexibility in order to ensure their networks are ready for 1Tbps upgrades, which are likely to be needed during the working lifetime of WDM equipment being designed today. Finisar’s WSS technology, which is based on that found inside digital projectors, has an advantage because it can easily be programmed to accommodate different channel spacings – it’s simply a software change.
The cold, hard data suggest that the components industry is on an uptick. In the couple of weeks since the show there have been no fewer than three positive market forecasts from research firms, including iSuppli, LightCounting and Infonetics, but my favourite data point comes from Andrew Schmitt, directing analyst for optical at Infonetics Research, who spoke at the ECOC Symposium on 100GbE.
The market for optical hardware is pretty substantial, and currently worth £13 billion annually, according to Infonetics. The spending patterns in this market are shifting away from legacy Sonet/SDH hardware and towards WDM equipment. Right now the balance is about 50:50, but by 2014 the market will be roughly 70% WDM equipment.
“This is very good news for components vendors because the bill of materials [for optical components] is much higher in WDM systems,” Schmitt pointed out. “While the overall [optical hardware] market is growing at around 5% annually, if you’re making components your market is growing at closer to 10%.”
Pauline Rigby is editor of the blog Opticalreflection.com












